Friday, December 14, 2007

My Fukuome Projection.

Here is are the projections of Baseballlprospectus.com for Fukudome-

.289 BA
.401 OBP
15 HR
58 RBI
9 SB
.504 slg

Not a bad projection, they compare him to Bobby Abreu and JD Drew.

Here is Zips projection-

.293 BA
.382 OBP
13 HR
67 RBI
1 SB
.460 slg

Despite the higher BA, Zips has hit homers and OBP lower than BP.

Now for my projections-

.301 BA
.390 OBP
20 HR
85 RBI
10 SB
.512 slg

I think Fukudome will have comparable stats to what he had in Japan. All his numbers I think will decrease some but not as much as Zips and BP has them. I think Lou will think about him in the #2 spot only if the don't acquire a Switch hitting CF/2B. I honestly thing Lou will put Fukuome in the #4 spot between Lee and Aram to break up the 2 rightys, therefore he will have alot of RBI chances and get more pitches to hit being in front of Ram. I compare Fukudome to a Matsui or a lighter hitting left-handed Vladimir Guerrero. I would also agree that he is comparable to Drew and Abreu.

3 comments:

Kamel said...

I dont like how he wants his first name on his jersey like Ichiro. I dont like Ichiro doing it either.

I'm surprised MLB let them do this. Tradition is a big thing in baseball. What is this, the XFL? Put your last name on your jersey.

ROCK said...

I DON'T CARE WHAT NAME HE PUTS ON HIS JERSEY, IF HE CAN HIT, DRIVE IN RUNS AND HAVE A HIGH ON BASE PERCENTAGE. THIS IS QUITE POSSIBLY A TERRIFIC AQUISITION. CONGRATS TO JIM HENDRY. KEEP ON KEEPIN' ON.

ROCK

traderumor said...

haha...your projection is higher in all categories than the other experts....looks more biased than realistic.