Friday, February 08, 2008

My 2008 Cubs Projection

Well here is my Cubs Projection for 2008-

1. Alfonso Soriano LF- .280 AVG, 33 HR, 80 RBI, and 30 SB

2. Ryan Theriot SS- .300 AVG, 3 HR, 39 RBI, and 20 SB

3. Derrek Lee 1st- .320 AVG, 31 HR, 88 RBI, and 10 SB

4. Aramis Ramirez- .295 AVG, 32 HR, 108 RBI, and 2 SB

5. Kosuke Fukudome- .301 AVG, 20 HR, 81 RBI, and 15 SB

6. Mark Derosa- .279 AVG, 7 HR, 49 RBI, and 7 SB

7. Geovanny Soto- .275, 21 HR, 65 RBI, 1 SB

8. Felix Pie- .265, 8 HR, 55 RBI, 30 SB

1. Carlos Zambrano- 20-5 W-L, 3.35 ERA, 210 K

2. Ted Lilly- 12-7 W-L, 4.07 ERA, 150 K

3. Jon Lieber- 14-9 W-L, 4.20 ERA, 100 K

4. Rich Hill- 16-10 W-L, 3.75 ERA, 185 K

5. Jason Marquis- 7-5 W-L, 4.50 ERA, 77 K

6. Ryan Dempster- 5-8 W-L, 4.89 ERA, 50 K

My wild card this year is Jon Lieber. I feel he will return close to the form he was in Philly when he won 17 games. He will not quite get there but I feel he will get at least 14 wins next season. I also think that Lee will rebound from an off power year and regain some of what he had in 2005. I think this team is built for power and will put up a lot of runs next year along with having a starting pitching staff that racks up 74 wins.

If not traded Marquis and Dempster will fill the role of 5th starter and have neither do the job that well. They will combined for a 12-13 record with about a 4.66 ERA and only 127 SO.

I see a good year for the Cubs both in the rotation and lineup! GO CUBS!

Projections may change due to trade


Joe said...

If Marquis, Demp, and Marshall arent traded... I would prefer to see Marshall at the back end. Of course Spring Training will decide who sticks.

I would give D Lee 25+ HRs, bump Rammy up to 35+ HRs, Fuku to 15 HRs, and DRo to 10 HRs and 55+ RBIs. Pie's avg will probably be .250... which is all we need him to do while pickin everything from gap to gap.

Tab Lilly for 14 Ws and a sub 4.00 ERA. Depending on how long Marquis is on the team if not traded by midseason... he is still a double digit win guy... but also a double digit loss guy. If thats Demp's projection as a SP... and thats what we can still project after Spring Train... I say he's got a ticket back to the pen.

I agree with your Lieber thoughts. He is definitely capable of 15+ wins if he is healthy. He, like Marquis, will also get a boost from the cold April and May at Wrigley and should have a good start to the season. But at the same time... also like Marquis... Lieber may combine that respectable win total with a low double digit loss total.

Anonymous said...

Do these projections mean you dont think we are getting Roberts? Nick I

cubsfan82 said...

Nick I, I think our chances of getting Roberts are 50/50. I was bored last nite so I decieded to put out my yearly projections. If there is a trade that involves the 25 man roster I will update the projections as needed

I think the only thing that would stop Jim from getting Roberts is if they insist on Pie, Hill, or Marmol. Becuase we will not trade those guys for him.

traderumor said...

I hope you are wrong about Dempster. I think he'll do a good job as a starter this season. He's my wild card.

Also, I have to say that you over-rated Zambrano and Soto. We would love those numbers from those players but me and you both know we are going to be disappointed. Every year, I say that Zambrano is going to win 20 games. He never does it.

thatcubsfan said...

Theriot with a .300 BA? I could see him hit around .285 at the highest, but he should hit around .275 imo.